Whitepaper · live numbers

Trading models that have to prove it on the future.

Omega is a private research stack that builds, breeds and verifies AI trading models. Every number on this page is computed from live records or a pre-registered test — including the ones that don't look good.

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The models

Two champions run with real money. Each one earned its slot by passing tests on data it had never seen. Their live records are shown exactly as they stand.

live · real money

CHAMPION MINI v2 — Solana launch sniper

Watches brand-new pump.fun pools. A learned filter decides in the first ~15 seconds which launches to buy; it sells at +24.8%, at −50%, or after 10 minutes — and a live rug guard sells early when a pool starts draining.

live · real money

CHAMPION — Kraken trend model

Daily-bar trend following on 24 spot pairs, only trading while a Bitcoin regime gate is open. Built and walk-forward tested on 2019–2026 data.

What "profit factor" means here

Profit factor (PF) = money made on winning trades ÷ money lost on losing trades. PF 1.0 breaks even; PF 2.0 makes two dollars for every dollar it loses. A PF is only worth something if it was measured on trades the model could not have learned from — so we report where each PF comes from.

live with real moneyreplay on independent on-chain datasame rules, no filterpaused layer

The gap between the bot's own picks (PF 8.29) and the launches it skipped (PF 0.78) is the whole point: the edge is the filter, not the exits. The live PF is lower than the replay because live trading has already paid for two rugs — the losses the rug guard now targets.

CHAMPION MINI v2, trade by trade

Every closed live trade, in order. The line is cumulative profit in SOL at 0.05 SOL per trade; each dot is one trade.

winning tradelosing trade

The rug guard

Most of the losses come from rugs: a creator drains the pool and the price gaps straight through the stop to −80% or worse. Our on-chain tap sees every pool trade about half a second after it happens; the guard sells a position the moment its pool loses 10% of its SOL within 10 seconds.

How a trade exits

Proof of Edge — verify it yourself

Screenshots prove nothing. Every live decision CHAMPION MINI v2 makes — every buy and every skip — plus every live entry and every result is hashed and chained within 15 seconds, and the chain is timestamped on the Bitcoin blockchain through OpenTimestamps. Decisions are locked in minutes before their outcome exists. Nothing can be added, dropped or edited later without breaking the chain and its Bitcoin timestamp, and every skip is counted next to every win.

How it works

Record

decision (BUY/SKIP), entry, outcome, model version → canonical JSON → SHA-256 leaf

Batch

every 15 s: Merkle root of new leaves, chained to the previous batch hash

Anchor

each batch hash goes to public OpenTimestamps calendars → committed to a Bitcoin block

Publish

chain, batches and Bitcoin receipts mirrored here every 5 minutes

Check it in two commands

wget -r -np -nH proof/  (or download the files below)
python3 verify.py chain.jsonl batches/
pip install opentimestamps-client
ots verify batches/0000001.hash.ots

Files: chain.jsonl · batches/ · verify.py · summary.json. The proof starts on 25 Oct 2026, when this ledger went live; earlier trades are shown on this page but are not claimed as proof.

The agent factory

We don't train giant models — we breed agents on top of them. Each agent descends from a frontier model (Anthropic Claude Opus 5.5, Fable 5.1, Sonnet 5.5; OpenAI GPT and Codex; open models) and adds what we control: traits, tools, memory, a budget and a lineage. Every agent has one job tied to profit: propose a filter that makes CHAMPION MINI v2 skip the launches that lose.

Birth

Ancestor model + traits + tools + memory + budget. DNA is hashed and written to a tamper-evident ledger.

Propose

Each agent studies frozen history and proposes one rule (1–3 conditions) for which launches to skip.

Freeze

Rules are validated and frozen together into a cohort. Its fingerprint is published before any result exists.

Judge

Every rule in the cohort is graded on the same next 150 unseen launches — paired, once, against a random placebo.

Evolve

Agents whose rules make money breed (traits cross, ancestors pass down); agents that keep losing retire.

Promote

A passing rule is replicated by a second model family, then approved by a human, then goes live.

Agents alive right now

Filters they proposed

filteragentrule (buy only if…)cohortverdict

Breeding, genes and fingerprints

In our research engine (GENESIS) every strategy is an organism called an OPAL. Its DNA is data — an entry time, an exit, and a few conditions — never code. Each piece of DNA is a gene with its own fingerprint, so we can trace exactly which parent every gene came from as organisms cross and mutate.

fast niche (3–5 s)mid niche (7–10 s)late niche (15–20 s)crossoverbred by an AI agent

Stable genes

Genes still carried by living organisms across several generations — the traits selection keeps choosing.

The DNA ledger

Every birth is appended to a hash chain: each record includes the previous record's hash, so changing any past birth breaks every later link. The chain head is posted daily to a signed message channel.

Why you can trust the numbers (and where you shouldn't)

The easiest way to fool yourself in trading research is to test an idea on the data you used to find it. These rules exist to stop that.

Pre-register

Hypothesis, data window, costs and pass bar are written and hashed before the test.

Hold out

Rules are chosen on the first 60% of history and tested once on the last 40%.

Placebo

A result must beat random picks of the same size, not just zero.

Real costs

Measured fees, price impact and execution delay — the same engine for every test.

Replicate

A second model family re-runs every pass with its own code.

Go forward

Live trading on the future is the final judge. Live numbers here update automatically.

Honest limits

  • Samples are small. Live CHAMPION MINI v2 has a few dozen trades; CHAMPION's current configuration has barely started. Small samples can flatter or punish a model.
  • The replay PF (8.29) is measured on 29 picks from independent on-chain data; it is evidence, not a promise.
  • One live layer (calm_early_7) passed its tests and then lost money live — it was paused. We show it because hiding failures is how research lies.
  • The agent factory and GENESIS are research. Nothing they produce trades real money until it passes a fixed unseen cohort, independent replication and human approval.
  • Nothing here is financial advice. Crypto launches are extremely risky; most lose money.